NAR: Existing-Home Sale Continue to Rise
June 30, 2009
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Sales of existing homes
showed another gain in May, benefiting from favorable affordability
conditions and a first-time buyer tax credit, according to the NATIONAL
ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS ®. May’s increase was the first back-to-back monthly
gain since September 2005.
Existing-home sales – including single-family,
townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally
adjusted annual rate of 4.77 million units in May from a downwardly revised
level of 4.66 million units in April. Sales remained 3.6 percent below the
4.95 million-unit pace in May 2008.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist,
expected an improvement in sales.
“Historically low mortgage
interest rates clearly drew buyers into the market, and housing remains very
affordable even with a recent uptick in rates,” Yun says. “First-time buyers
also are being drawn off the sidelines by the $8,000 tax credit, which is
helping to absorb inventory.
Poor Appraisals Stall
Transactions
However, the increase in
sales is less than expected because poor appraisals are stalling
transactions. Pending home sales indicated much stronger activity, but some
contracts are falling through from faulty valuations that keep buyers from
getting a loan.”
Total housing inventory at
the end of May fell 3.5 percent to 3.80 million existing homes available for
sale, which represents a 9.6-month supply at the current sales pace, down
from a 10.1-month supply in April.
Yun says the appraisal
problem is serious.
“Lenders are using
appraisers who may not be familiar with a neighborhood, or who compare
traditional homes with distressed and discounted sales,” he says. “In the
past month, stories of appraisal problems have been snowballing from across
the country with many contracts falling through at the last moment. There is
danger of a delayed housing market recovery and a further rise in
foreclosures if the appraisal problems are not quickly corrected.”
NAR President
Charles McMillan says appraisals and the tax credit are key issues.
“To maximize the potential
for a housing recovery and subsequent economic recovery, we need realistic
appraisals that are based on proper comparisons and done by a local
specialist,” he said. “In addition, the first-time buyer tax credit should
be expanded to all buyers of primary homes regardless of income. Extending
the credit into 2010 would allow more time for the market to catch up with
underlying demand, in part because many families with children, who normally
time their purchase based on school year considerations, do not have enough
time to move before the start of school in late August.
“Freeing a pent-up demand
in housing will absorb inventory at a faster pace, strengthen communities
and stabilize home prices earlier,” McMillan said.
A Closer Look at May
Housing Data
An NAR practitioner survey
in May showed first-time buyers accounted for 29 percent of transactions,
and that the number of buyers looking at homes is nearly 10 percentage
points higher than a year ago.
“This is the time of year
when we see large increases in the number of repeat buyers, who are
benefiting from sales to entry-level buyers,” Yun says. “Investors appear
less active, but are more prevalent in areas with large price corrections.”
National median
existing-home price:
for all housing types was
$173,000 in May, down 16.8 percent from a year earlier. Distressed
properties, which declined to 33 percent of all sales in May from 45 percent
in April, continue to downwardly distort the median price because they
generally sell at a discount relative to traditional homes.
“The decline in the
distressed sales share likely results from an increase of repeat buyers in
May,” Yun says. “First-time buyers are concentrated in the lower price
ranges, which include most of the distressed sales.”
Single-family home sales:
rose 1.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual
rate of 4.25 million in May from a pace of 4.17 million in April, but are 3
percent below the 4.38 million-unit level in May 2008. The median existing
single-family home price was $172,900 in May, down 16.1 percent from a year
ago.
Existing condominium and
co-op sales: increased 6.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted
annual rate of 520,000 units in May from 490,000 in April, but are 8.9
percent below the 571,000-unit level in May 2008. The median existing condo
price was $173,800 in May, down 21.9 percent from a year earlier.
By the Region
Here’s how housing fared
across the country for existing-home sales:
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Northeast:
rose 3.9 percent to an annual level of 800,000 in May, but are 10.1
percent below a year ago. Median price: $243,600, which is 12.5
percent below May 2008.
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Midwest:
jumped 9 percent in May to a pace of 1.09 million but are 4.4 percent
below May 2008. Median price: $145,800, which is 10.4 percent
lower than a year ago.
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South:
unchanged at an annual pace of 1.74 million in May but are 8.9 percent
below a year ago. Median price: $157,400, down 9.9 percent from
May 2008.
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West:
slipped 0.9 percent to an annual rate of 1.14 million in May, but are
11.8 percent higher than May 2008. Median price: $197,700, down
30.6 percent from a year ago.
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